Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 110.366588 126.553354 145.229353 168.591655 197.348359 232.008406 2.775991e+02
2025-03-23 90.836189 112.078204 139.261082 177.501965 231.469899 307.516475 4.279924e+02
2025-03-30 75.796696 97.635025 127.377372 172.440244 242.113406 351.849520 5.525994e+02
2025-04-06 67.210472 89.572853 121.593675 173.197040 259.550707 410.092041 7.271039e+02
2025-04-13 60.506922 82.852591 116.168935 172.680292 273.897109 467.219057 9.333167e+02
2025-04-20 56.805422 79.863798 115.640799 179.552261 302.454168 561.852525 1.294993e+03
2025-04-27 54.944747 79.324403 118.718155 193.004689 347.276068 712.070951 1.967475e+03
2025-05-04 50.704297 74.451018 113.838676 190.809799 359.224365 790.962887 2.520884e+03
2025-05-11 47.740133 71.302386 111.435557 192.807216 380.980382 908.307530 3.442028e+03
2025-05-18 44.382608 67.139735 106.687131 189.172026 388.397323 988.789284 4.376701e+03
2025-05-25 42.025152 64.450064 104.273492 189.948182 407.197422 1119.551888 6.045786e+03
2025-06-01 39.937888 62.029791 102.061379 190.743316 426.448009 1267.748561 8.562196e+03
2025-06-08 37.251001 58.486795 97.640968 186.622819 433.239341 1385.341644 1.180475e+04
2025-06-15 36.307199 58.024884 99.230928 196.973786 488.132971 1784.042733 2.513852e+04
2025-06-22 33.889414 54.624469 94.515326 191.151911 489.677735 1922.535985 3.744762e+04
2025-06-29 32.331721 52.698614 92.602921 192.022143 514.707375 2238.483350 7.610750e+04
2025-07-06 30.799449 50.690447 90.289155 191.427941 534.714453 2564.815696 1.735934e+05
2025-07-13 30.074535 50.170860 91.083621 199.337194 591.571349 3307.129681 1.219822e+06
2025-07-20 29.915397 50.737742 94.315811 214.864707 690.454284 4811.253548 NaN
2025-07-27 28.532297 48.740853 91.548327 212.327300 707.731596 5503.390272 NaN
2025-08-03 27.567888 47.521727 90.441177 214.636355 750.634778 6802.866798 NaN
2025-08-10 26.287431 45.564829 87.418743 210.434942 758.611254 7618.089131 NaN
2025-08-17 25.394817 44.354298 86.055674 211.331642 795.651451 9336.566359 NaN